2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,691/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$104
Tax + insurance
−$33
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$355
Net cashflow
$1,198/mo
Annual
$14,381/yr
Cap rate
78.56%
Cash-on-cash
258.09%
DSCR
12.48
1% rule
8.50%
Cash to close
$5,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $20k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $19k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $597 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#371 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, health & safety F.
Argo Chsd 217 (suburban): math 20% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #423 of 620 in IL (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Willow Springs Elem School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,054 of 2,056 statewide, top 54%, 399 students, 0% FRL); Argo Community High School (math 20% / reading 20%, grade F, #357 of 693 statewide, top 54%, 1,924 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 78.6% vs local median 5.2% in Willow Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5TAT5KDSVP2742
· Data 21 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29