3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,205 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 291 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$941
Tax + insurance
−$201
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$43/mo
Annual
$518/yr
Cap rate
6.58%
Cash-on-cash
1.03%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$50,260
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($518/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (16.4% below list).
It's been on market 291 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#50 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Mccomb School District (town): math 15% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #106 of 130 in MS (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 93% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Otken Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #259 of 375 statewide, top 71%, 370 students, 100% FRL); Denman Junior High School (math 16% / reading 17%, grade F, #126 of 179 statewide, top 71%, 334 students, 100% FRL); Mccomb High School (math 15% / reading 12%, grade F, #153 of 197 statewide, top 78%, 627 students, 100% FRL).
Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pike County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 291 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5TDHTBE6848190
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29