2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 101 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,155/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$184
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$243
Net cashflow
$-58/mo
Annual
$-700/yr
Cap rate
5.83%
Cash-on-cash
-1.67%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-58 ($-700/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (6.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (23.0% below list).
It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (8.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Tulsa (urban): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #250 of 270 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Project Accept Traice Es (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #695 of 845 statewide, top 84%, 558 students, 0% FRL); Monroe Demonstration Ms (math 0% / reading 2%, grade F, #344 of 345 statewide, top 100%, 688 students, 0% FRL); Booker T. Washington Hs (math 41% / reading 61%, grade D+, #2 of 447 statewide, top 0%, 1,280 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 76% district-wide (76 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $99k; list at $150k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (8.7% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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