4 bd · 3.5 ba ·
1,570 sqft ·
Built 2018
· Other
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,437/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$321
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$302
Net cashflow
$-103/mo
Annual
$-1,238/yr
Cap rate
5.59%
Cash-on-cash
-2.53%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath other listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-103 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (10.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (17.9% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $144k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#156 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A-, crime B, cost of living B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Rich District (rural): math 51% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #16 of 80 in UT (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: North Rich School (math 64% / reading 54%, grade B-, #59 of 585 statewide, top 10%, 113 students, 37% FRL); Rich Middle School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade B-, #13 of 138 statewide, top 9%, 123 students, 33% FRL); Rich High (math 30% / reading 50%, grade F, #63 of 171 statewide, top 37%, 156 students, 30% FRL).
Market conditions: 478 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Rich County in 2024 (19 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rich County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5V5DQ527FQF1KX
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29