2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1955
· Condo
· Active
· 88 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,673/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$556
HOA
−$2,970
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$771
Net cashflow
$-2,197/mo
Annual
$-26,363/yr
Cap rate
-2.27%
Cash-on-cash
-30.59%
DSCR
-0.36
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-26k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $300k).
It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $282k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 89/100 on livability (#7 in NY, #165 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Hewlett-Woodmere Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #59 of 590 in NY (top 10%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; HOA is 81% of rent; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $100k; list at $300k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate -2.3% vs local median 2.7% in Hewlett — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
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