3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,547 sqft ·
Built 1942
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$996/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$233
Tax + insurance
−$42
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$209
Net cashflow
$511/mo
Annual
$6,136/yr
Cap rate
20.08%
Cash-on-cash
49.25%
DSCR
3.19
1% rule
2.24%
Cash to close
$12,460
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $44k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $511 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($996 rent vs $44k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($308 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#167 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Newport School District (town): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #194 of 238 in AR (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Newport Elementary School (math 31% / reading 25%, grade F, #326 of 454 statewide, top 72%, 656 students, 51% FRL); Newport High School (math 19% / reading 27%, grade F, #209 of 292 statewide, top 72%, 612 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 68% district-wide (22 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 20.1% vs local median 5.1% in Newport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5VVZ9N5V9N2QG7
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29