3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,720 sqft ·
Built 1900
· Other
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,304/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$248
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$274
Net cashflow
$0/mo
Annual
$3/yr
Cap rate
6.29%
Cash-on-cash
0.01%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $149k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $0 ($3/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (12.5% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $130k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,012 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
Madison Central School District (rural): math 35% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #703 of 755 in NY (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The satellite image suggests the roof may be leaking or in need of replacement.
Major: exterior walls/siding
— The satellite image shows significant wear and tear on the exterior walls and siding.
Major: HVAC condensers
— The satellite image shows HVAC condensers that may need maintenance or replacement.
Major: interior walls/paint
— The satellite image suggests the interior walls may be in need of painting or repairs.
Major: landscaping
— The satellite image shows a lack of landscaping and a potentially unkempt appearance, which could be improved with some landscaping work.
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