8016 Selma Ave

Los Angeles, CA 90046

$3,195,000F

12 bd · 8.0 ba · 9,884 sqft · Built 1937 · MultiFamily · Pending · 41 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $19,755/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$16,755
• Tax + insurance: −$3,843
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$4,149
• Net cashflow: $-4,991/mo
• Annual: $-59,893/yr
• Cap rate: 4.42%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.69%
• DSCR: 0.70
• 1% rule: 0.62%
• Cash to close: $894,600

Investor read

• This is a 4 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $3.19M.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5k ($-60k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-1k/mo.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $2.31M (27.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.98M (38.2% below list).
• It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($3.10M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $1.98M (38.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $22k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $96k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
• Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 343 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $19,755/mo this rent would consume 246% of the median local household income ($96k/yr) (locally 5563% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?