12 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,600 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,818/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,150
Tax + insurance
−$683
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,012
Net cashflow
$973/mo
Annual
$11,674/yr
Cap rate
9.14%
Cash-on-cash
10.17%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$114,800
Investor read
This is a 4 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $410k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $973 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $243/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $410k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($404k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $404k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#520 in PA, #4,791 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F, employment D-.
Greater Nanticoke Area SD (suburban): math 14% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #479 of 539 in PA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 6.3% in Nanticoke — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5XQ3B53VKXM77K
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29