4 bd · 5.5 ba ·
4,249 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Land
· Active
· 135 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$45,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$15,995
Tax + insurance
−$5,083
HOA
−$300
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$9,450
Net cashflow
$14,172/mo
Annual
$170,066/yr
Cap rate
11.87%
Cash-on-cash
19.91%
DSCR
1.89
1% rule
1.48%
Cash to close
$854,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/5.5-bath land listed at $3.05M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $14k ($170k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($45k rent vs $3.05M).
It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($2.68M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $2.68M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $326k of equity ($21k loan paydown + $305k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#112 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, cost of living F.
Nantucket (town): math 23% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #232 of 302 in MA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 262 units permitted in Nantucket County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nantucket County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $854k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$524k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5XWFRM1QSFW1AZ
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29