2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
950 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Condo
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,736/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$202
HOA
−$220
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$365
Net cashflow
$-94/mo
Annual
$-1,127/yr
Cap rate
5.73%
Cash-on-cash
-2.02%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (8.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (12.8% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $174k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#15 in ME, #1,476 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D-, employment F.
RSU 38 (rural): math 89% / reading 89% proficiency, ranked #27 of 112 in ME (top 24%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 460 units permitted in Kennebec County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kennebec County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.6% in Augusta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5Y28S10R6FMA2F
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29