3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,691 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,214/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$316
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$465
Net cashflow
$437/mo
Annual
$5,246/yr
Cap rate
9.06%
Cash-on-cash
9.87%
DSCR
1.44
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $437 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $187k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#113 in NE, #4,503 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Norris School District 160 (rural): math 53% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #20 of 111 in NE (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Norris Elementary School (554 students, 12% FRL); Norris Middle School (math 41% / reading 62%, grade C, #48 of 128 statewide, top 38%, 595 students, 12% FRL); Norris High School (math 62% / reading 57%, grade C+, #49 of 261 statewide, top 26%, 757 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 12% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $135k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.8% in Hickman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5Y6E54CTR6B0G3
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29