3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,456 sqft ·
Built 1998
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,098
Tax + insurance
−$375
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$735
Net cashflow
$293/mo
Annual
$3,512/yr
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.14%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$112,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $293 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $350k (12.5% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $350k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 91/100 on livability (#4 in MI, #46 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Traverse City Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #94 of 540 in MI (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Tcaps Montessori School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #276 of 1,397 statewide, top 22%, 307 students, 26% FRL); East Middle School (math 45% / reading 55%, grade C, #117 of 493 statewide, top 25%, 786 students, 38% FRL); Central High School (math 52% / reading 72%, grade B-, #58 of 713 statewide, top 9%, 1,387 students, 29% FRL) — zoned schools at 31% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 883 units permitted in Grand Traverse County in 2024 (501 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grand Traverse County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 1.1% in Traverse City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5YM1Y98QY1ZPNJ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29