6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,886 sqft ·
Built 1988
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$9,917/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,510
Tax + insurance
−$1,435
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,083
Net cashflow
$1,890/mo
Annual
$22,676/yr
Cap rate
8.93%
Cash-on-cash
9.42%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$240,800
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2-bath units multifamily listed at $860k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($23k/yr) — positive. Per door: $945/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $860k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $26k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Citrus Grove Elementary School (math 27% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,854 of 2,144 statewide, top 87%, 866 students, 65% FRL); Citrus Grove Middle School (math 19% / reading 21%, grade F, #558 of 571 statewide, top 98%, 781 students, 66% FRL); Miami Arts Charter (math 46% / reading 59%, grade C-, #154 of 667 statewide, top 24%, 1,097 students, 2% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 64% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 34% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 241 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $137k; list at $860k implies a 528% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $9,917/mo this rent would consume 265% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 5223% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5YW47H140MEW60
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29