6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,523 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 101 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,293/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,447
Tax + insurance
−$1,196
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$692
Net cashflow
$-3,042/mo
Annual
$-36,503/yr
Cap rate
1.99%
Cash-on-cash
-15.37%
DSCR
0.32
1% rule
0.39%
Cash to close
$237,440
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $848k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-37k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $311k (63.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $329k (61.2% below list).
It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($772k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $311k (63.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $91k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $85k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in WA, #1,036 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living D-.
Olympia School District (urban): math 66% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #17 of 291 in WA (top 6%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Leland P Brown Elementary (316 students, 63% FRL); Jefferson Middle School (447 students, 54% FRL); Capital High School (1,326 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 25% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 306 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,222 units permitted in Thurston County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
Thurston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $120k; list at $848k implies a 607% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$146k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 63% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-5Z34ZJ3VABPNBZ
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29