8 bd · 4.5 ba ·
4,134 sqft ·
Built 1963
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 374 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,019/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$1,395
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,264
Net cashflow
$1,525/mo
Annual
$18,305/yr
Cap rate
11.52%
Cash-on-cash
18.68%
DSCR
1.83
1% rule
1.72%
Cash to close
$97,972
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $508/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $350k).
It's been on market 374 days — a 12% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $308k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D-, amenities F.
Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Caroline Sibley Elem School (math 0% / reading 5%, grade F, #1,923 of 2,056 statewide, top 94%, 518 students, 0% FRL); Creative Communications Acad (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #660 of 665 statewide, top 100%, 177 students, 0% FRL); Thornridge High School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #589 of 693 statewide, top 86%, 1,057 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 195 active listings in the ZIP; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
15 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $121k; list at $350k implies a 189% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $98k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 8.2% in Calumet City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,019/mo this rent would consume 130% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 2415% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 374 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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