2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
770 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$711/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$149
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$149
Net cashflow
$46/mo
Annual
$550/yr
Cap rate
7.08%
Cash-on-cash
2.80%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$19,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $46 ($550/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($711 rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#379 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: crime D, amenities D, commute F.
Macomb CUSD 185 (town): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #410 of 620 in IL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Lincoln Elem School (math 17% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,278 of 2,056 statewide, top 65%, 548 students, 0% FRL); Macomb Junior High School (math 21% / reading 32%, grade F, #312 of 665 statewide, top 48%, 308 students, 0% FRL); Macomb Senior High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #157 of 693 statewide, top 25%, 622 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 40% district-wide (40 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent.
2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $57k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-5ZN27X69A35SFD
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29