2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1906
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$995/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$435
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$209
Net cashflow
$254/mo
Annual
$3,045/yr
Cap rate
9.97%
Cash-on-cash
13.12%
DSCR
1.58
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$23,212
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $83k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($995 rent vs $83k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $573 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#772 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Pinckneyville Chsd 101 (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #557 of 919 in IL (top 61%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Pinckneyville Comm High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 429 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Perry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Perry County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $22k; list at $83k implies a 279% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-606HT2FWQZ35TP
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29