3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,334 sqft ·
Built 1990
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$986/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$526
Tax + insurance
−$336
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$-84/mo
Annual
$-1,005/yr
Cap rate
5.29%
Cash-on-cash
-3.58%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$28,084
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-84 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $86k (14.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $99k (1.7% below list).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($693 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#666 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
Shamrock ISD (rural): math 39% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #811 of 1,141 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP.
Wheeler County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-60D79VD04ZXJ51
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29