202 3rd St

Boonville, MO 65233

$165,000C+

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,376 sqft · Built 1942 · Other · Pending · 29 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,047/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$865
• Tax + insurance: −$130
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$430
• Net cashflow: $622/mo
• Annual: $7,467/yr
• Cap rate: 10.82%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.16%
• DSCR: 1.72
• 1% rule: 1.24%
• Cash to close: $46,200

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $165k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $622 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
• It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $163k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#410 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
• Boonville R-I (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #215 of 324 in MO (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Boonville High (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D-, #155 of 521 statewide, top 32%, 569 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 47% at this address vs 35% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Boonville R-I average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 138 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Cooper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Cooper County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $64k; list at $165k implies a 158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.6% in Boonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.