3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,275 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,722/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$203
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$362
Net cashflow
$-23/mo
Annual
$-270/yr
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.43%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-270/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $221k (1.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (23.5% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $172k (23.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#528 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Gaston County Schools (suburban): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #93 of 178 in NC (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Chapel Grove Elementary (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #835 of 1,410 statewide, top 62%, 357 students, 99% FRL); Southwest Middle (math 35% / reading 30%, grade F, #312 of 475 statewide, top 66%, 804 students, 100% FRL); Hunter Huss High (math 37% / reading 38%, grade F, #411 of 535 statewide, top 77%, 1,120 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 37% district-wide (56 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 352 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,069 units permitted in Gaston County in 2024 (142 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gaston County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $170k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.7% in Gastonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-60KKKC5PMEQ4QK
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29