5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
3,135 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,666/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$323
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$350
Net cashflow
$-3/mo
Annual
$-39/yr
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.07%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-39/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (0.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (12.3% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $167k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#94 in MI, #2,182 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
Lansing Public School District (urban): math 14% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #650 of 760 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.9%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $80k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6201T0C6A0401F
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29