4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,452 sqft ·
Built 2002
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 76 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,133/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,071
Tax + insurance
−$596
HOA
−$14
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$658
Net cashflow
$-207/mo
Annual
$-2,485/yr
Cap rate
5.66%
Cash-on-cash
-2.25%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$110,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $395k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-207 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $358k (9.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $313k (20.7% below list).
It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($371k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $313k (20.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#211 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Gwinnett County (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #32 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Harbins Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #264 of 1,228 statewide, top 23%, 1,412 students, 46% FRL); Mcconnell Middle School (math 39% / reading 51%, grade D, #103 of 470 statewide, top 23%, 2,176 students, 51% FRL); Archer High School (math 32% / reading 33%, grade F, #104 of 424 statewide, top 25%, 3,134 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 47% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 657 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 5,607 units permitted in Gwinnett County in 2024 (1,277 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gwinnett County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
14 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask is 900% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.0% in Dacula — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($117k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-62HYFK4NWSM6J8
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29