5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,233 sqft ·
Built 1948
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,186/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$145
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$249
Net cashflow
$189/mo
Annual
$2,266/yr
Cap rate
8.26%
Cash-on-cash
7.04%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#229 in MN, #4,836 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
Westbrook-Walnut Grove Schools (rural): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #213 of 301 in MN (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Cottonwood County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cottonwood County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (5.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-634D0W40TWPDPE
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29