3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,650 sqft ·
Built 2023
· Manufactured
· Active
· 87 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,530/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,075
Tax + insurance
−$145
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$321
Net cashflow
$-11/mo
Annual
$-136/yr
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.24%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$57,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $205k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-11 ($-136/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $203k (1.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (25.3% below list).
It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $153k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#12 in LA, #3,099 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Livingston Parish (suburban): math 40% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 98 in LA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 794 units permitted in Livingston Parish in 2024 (99 in 5+ unit buildings).
Livingston County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.5% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-634YH20TJXRV5M
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29