3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,662 sqft ·
Built 1918
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,354/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$77
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$284
Net cashflow
$364/mo
Annual
$4,368/yr
Cap rate
9.94%
Cash-on-cash
13.01%
DSCR
1.58
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#485 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Poteau (town): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #68 of 270 in OK (top 25%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Poteau Upper Es (math 45% / reading 36%, grade F, #98 of 845 statewide, top 12%, 471 students, 0% FRL); Poteau Hs (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #125 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 636 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Le Flore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Le Flore County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.8% in Poteau — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-636BZ49QHT6MQD
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29