2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
864 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Townhouse
· Active
· 107 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,783
Tax + insurance
−$261
HOA
−$497
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$840
Net cashflow
$619/mo
Annual
$7,423/yr
Cap rate
8.48%
Cash-on-cash
7.80%
DSCR
1.35
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$95,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $340k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $619 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $340k).
It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($309k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $309k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Mashpee (suburban): math 34% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #183 of 302 in MA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 657 units permitted in Barnstable County in 2024 (178 in 5+ unit buildings).
Barnstable County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $187k; list at $340k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6395CZ6K4E2AW7
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29