12 bd · 6.0 ba ·
4,875 sqft ·
Built 1931
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$20,543/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,375
Tax + insurance
−$1,403
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,314
Net cashflow
$9,451/mo
Annual
$113,408/yr
Cap rate
17.36%
Cash-on-cash
39.51%
DSCR
2.76
1% rule
2.00%
Cash to close
$287,000
Investor read
This is a 6 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.02M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($113k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($21k rent vs $1.02M).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($994k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $994k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $110k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $102k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 59 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $285k; list at $1.02M implies a 260% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $287k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$176k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $20,543/mo this rent would consume 401% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 7470% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-63RQJ4ER4VPVWX
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29