401 S Lincoln Ave

Anthony, KS 67003

$63,000B

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 884 sqft · Built 1930 · SingleFamily · Active · 80 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $851/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$330
• Tax + insurance: −$48
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$179
• Net cashflow: $294/mo
• Annual: $3,534/yr
• Cap rate: 11.90%
• Cash-on-cash: 20.03%
• DSCR: 1.89
• 1% rule: 1.35%
• Cash to close: $17,640

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($851 rent vs $63k).
• It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $59k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($436 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#228 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Chaparral Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #110 of 169 in KS (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Anthony Elem (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #273 of 684 statewide, top 45%, 210 students, 71% FRL); Chaparral Jr/Sr High (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 327 statewide, top 84%, 350 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 52% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Harper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Harper County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• Current owner paid $10k; list at $63k implies a 530% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.