2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,176 sqft ·
Built 1922
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$889/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$231
Tax + insurance
−$39
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$187
Net cashflow
$432/mo
Annual
$5,189/yr
Cap rate
18.09%
Cash-on-cash
42.12%
DSCR
2.87
1% rule
2.02%
Cash to close
$12,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $44k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $432 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($889 rent vs $44k).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $41 of equity ($304 loan paydown + $-263 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#381 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
Henry County Public School District (rural): math 45% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #78 of 131 in VA (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 33 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $35k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-64KG9T835MWZ77
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29