None bd · 25.0 ba ·
1,624 sqft ·
Built 1942
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,794/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,596
Tax + insurance
−$435
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,217
Net cashflow
$1,547/mo
Annual
$18,561/yr
Cap rate
10.20%
Cash-on-cash
13.97%
DSCR
1.62
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$138,600
Investor read
This is a 5 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $495k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $309/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $495k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($480k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $480k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#59 in OR, #2,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
Salem-Keizer SD 24J (urban): math 34% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #103 of 183 in OR (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 242 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $29k; list at $495k implies a 1607% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $139k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.9% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,794/mo this rent would consume 81% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 1754% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-64MZNM5Q8VG36X
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29