4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,368 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Manufactured
· Active
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,580/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$492
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$752
Net cashflow
$790/mo
Annual
$9,478/yr
Cap rate
9.51%
Cash-on-cash
11.47%
DSCR
1.51
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $295k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $790 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $295k).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $286k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#41 in CO, #4,975 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities D, cost of living F.
Steamboat Springs School District No. RE-2 (town): math 49% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #4 of 86 in CO (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Sleeping Giant School (400 students, 17% FRL); Steamboat Springs Middle School (math 45% / reading 77%, grade B+, #14 of 270 statewide, top 5%, 507 students, 10% FRL); Steamboat Springs High School (math 52% / reading 77%, grade B-, #32 of 381 statewide, top 9%, 842 students, 8% FRL) — zoned schools at 12% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.6%/yr); 564 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 597 units permitted in Routt County in 2024 (418 in 5+ unit buildings).
Routt County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $295k implies a 354% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $83k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 0.1% in Steamboat Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($110k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-64TE4T6NY4FXME
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29