4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,042 sqft ·
Built 1880
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,598/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$590
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$336
Net cashflow
$-690/mo
Annual
$-8,284/yr
Cap rate
3.11%
Cash-on-cash
-11.38%
DSCR
0.49
1% rule
0.61%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-690 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (46.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (38.5% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $138k (46.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#302 in NY, #4,860 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
Pulaski Central School District (rural): math 44% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #377 of 590 in NY (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Pulaski Elementary School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #1,195 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 427 students, 54% FRL); Pulaski Middle-High School (math 46% / reading 63%, grade C-, #912 of 1,100 statewide, top 85%, 517 students, 46% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $220k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 3.1% vs local median 4.3% in Pulaski — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-64VYJVEFKEJ5R9
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29