3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
908 sqft ·
Built 1923
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 112 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$782/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$309
Tax + insurance
−$39
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$164
Net cashflow
$270/mo
Annual
$3,236/yr
Cap rate
11.78%
Cash-on-cash
19.59%
DSCR
1.87
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$16,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $270 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($782 rent vs $59k).
It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $54k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#279 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Wise County Public School District (town): math 74% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #11 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Wise County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wise County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $35k; list at $59k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.3% in Big Stone Gap — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29