5 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,838 sqft ·
Built 1905
· Other
· Active
· 189 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,316/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$729
Tax + insurance
−$140
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$276
Net cashflow
$171/mo
Annual
$2,053/yr
Cap rate
7.77%
Cash-on-cash
5.28%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$38,920
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $139k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (5.3% below list).
It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($961 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#150 in IA, #2,761 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
North Butler Community School District (rural): math 68% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #152 of 289 in IA (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $70k; list at $139k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-65T1JT27WP0Q33
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29