2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Condo
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,361/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$183
HOA
−$380
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$286
Net cashflow
$-65/mo
Annual
$-783/yr
Cap rate
5.58%
Cash-on-cash
-2.54%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-783/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $101k (8.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $101k (8.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#291 in FL, #4,898 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, amenities F.
Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 341 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
CashFlowRE · CFR-65WJZ7FN8EFF30
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29