4 bd · None ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,289/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$293
Tax + insurance
−$162
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$271
Net cashflow
$563/mo
Annual
$6,760/yr
Cap rate
18.39%
Cash-on-cash
43.19%
DSCR
2.92
1% rule
2.31%
Cash to close
$15,652
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $56k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $563 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($386 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#992 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, health & safety D, schools D-.
Friendship Central School District (rural): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #684 of 755 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (7.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-66ZGP4032N5PEZ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29