1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
380 sqft ·
Built 1985
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$834/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$156
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$175
Net cashflow
$-729/mo
Annual
$-8,749/yr
Cap rate
2.57%
Cash-on-cash
-13.30%
DSCR
0.41
1% rule
0.35%
Cash to close
$65,800
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-729 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $106k (54.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $83k (64.5% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $83k (64.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#119 in TX, #3,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Mcallen ISD (urban): math 34% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #440 of 826 in TX (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Fields El (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 481 students, 91% FRL); Travis Middle (math 16% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,360 of 1,662 statewide, top 83%, 516 students, 96% FRL); Mcallen H S (math 30% / reading 57%, grade F, #704 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 2,133 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 50% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 388 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 2.6% vs local median 3.7% in McAllen — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-674FQ7BFWND7V1
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29