2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,390 sqft ·
Built 1964
· Manufactured
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,929/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$420
Tax + insurance
−$200
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$825
Net cashflow
$2,485/mo
Annual
$29,818/yr
Cap rate
44.56%
Cash-on-cash
136.67%
DSCR
7.08
1% rule
4.91%
Cash to close
$22,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($30k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#319 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Long Beach Unified (urban): math 34% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #216 of 517 in CA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 44.6% vs local median 1.9% in Long Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($115k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn appearance
Minor: Bathtub and sink
— Need cleaning
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered appearance
Moderate: Hardwood floors
— Signs of wear
Moderate: Paint
— Chipped in some areas
Moderate: Window frames
— Worn appearance
CashFlowRE · CFR-67861B234CCEX1
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29