4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,725 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Other
· Active
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,253/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$389
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$263
Net cashflow
$-80/mo
Annual
$-957/yr
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.63%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $130k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-80 ($-957/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $116k (10.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (3.5% below list).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,032 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, schools A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Ridgway Area SD (town): math 53% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #79 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 53 units permitted in Elk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Elk County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $130k implies a 229% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-678T354R3AF2T6
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29