6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,480 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,860/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$210
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$601
Net cashflow
$1,211/mo
Annual
$14,534/yr
Cap rate
15.38%
Cash-on-cash
32.46%
DSCR
2.44
1% rule
1.79%
Cash to close
$44,772
Investor read
This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $606/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $160k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#595 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, health & safety D, crime F.
Lorain City (suburban): math 13% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #633 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Admiral King Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,242 of 1,584 statewide, top 80%, 239 students, 0% FRL); General Johnnie Wilson Middle School (math 14% / reading 24%, grade F, #614 of 654 statewide, top 94%, 472 students, 0% FRL); Lorain High School (math 17% / reading 34%, grade F, #638 of 781 statewide, top 82%, 1,722 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 80% district-wide (80 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $63k; list at $160k implies a 152% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 5.7% in Lorain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,860/mo this rent would consume 76% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1423% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-67AK3TB6D85VKF
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29