3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,166 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Condo
· Active
· 240 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,482/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,779
Tax + insurance
−$704
HOA
−$167
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,571
Net cashflow
$2,261/mo
Annual
$27,130/yr
Cap rate
11.41%
Cash-on-cash
18.29%
DSCR
1.81
1% rule
1.41%
Cash to close
$148,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $530k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $530k).
It's been on market 240 days — a 12% lower offer ($466k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $466k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#176 in NJ, #4,679 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, cost of living F.
Wildwood City School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #442 of 472 in NJ (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Glenwood Avenue Elementary School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,065 of 1,303 statewide, top 83%, 396 students, 89% FRL); Wildwood Middle School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #409 of 431 statewide, top 95%, 172 students, 87% FRL); Wildwood High School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #239 of 399 statewide, top 61%, 263 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 82% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 436 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 877 units permitted in Cape May County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cape May County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $87k; list at $530k implies a 509% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $148k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 5.6% in Wildwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 240 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-67NQA3CRB31G2C
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29