2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
884 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,100/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$75
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$231
Net cashflow
$269/mo
Annual
$3,231/yr
Cap rate
9.52%
Cash-on-cash
11.54%
DSCR
1.51
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (9.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Fairview Area School District (rural): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #244 of 760 in MI (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 29 units permitted in Oscoda County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oscoda County population projected at -32% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $72k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (9.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-684VV46KXVN900
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29