3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 2022
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,880/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$132
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$395
Net cashflow
$939/mo
Annual
$11,269/yr
Cap rate
20.56%
Cash-on-cash
50.95%
DSCR
3.27
1% rule
2.38%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $79k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $939 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Laramie County School District #1 (urban): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #33 of 41 in WY (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Arp Elementary (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #148 of 151 statewide, top 98%, 333 students, 72% FRL); Johnson Junior High School (math 29% / reading 42%, grade F, #53 of 55 statewide, top 96%, 647 students, 66% FRL); South High School (math 23% / reading 29%, grade F, #62 of 75 statewide, top 82%, 1,187 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 32% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Laramie County School District #1 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 485 units permitted in Laramie County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Laramie County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-691X950BPSYGPG
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29