2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
835 sqft ·
Built 1959
· Condo
· Active
· 75 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,114/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,360
Tax + insurance
−$750
HOA
−$761
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$654
Net cashflow
$-1,410/mo
Annual
$-16,923/yr
Cap rate
2.53%
Cash-on-cash
-13.43%
DSCR
0.40
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$125,986
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $450k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $246k (45.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $311k (30.8% below list).
It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($423k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $246k (45.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $-2k appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#15 in WA, #314 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Bellevue School District (urban): math 73% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #7 of 291 in WA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 350 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $191k; list at $450k implies a 136% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 2.5% vs local median 1.1% in Bellevue — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29