1 bd · None ba ·
615 sqft ·
Built 1925
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,387/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$729
Tax + insurance
−$287
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$291
Net cashflow
$79/mo
Annual
$951/yr
Cap rate
7.46%
Cash-on-cash
4.16%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$38,920
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $139k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($951/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (0.2% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $139k (0.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#149 in PA, #1,210 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, health & safety F.
State College Area SD (urban): math 62% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #41 of 539 in PA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 399 units permitted in Centre County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
Centre County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $72k; list at $139k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.2% in Boalsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— The siding is visibly weathered and in need of replacement.
Major: interior walls/paint
— The interior walls and paint appear to be in poor condition and need repainting.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No visible photos of the HVAC/mechanicals, but given the overall condition, it is likely in need of repair or replacement.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping is overgrown and requires significant maintenance and landscaping improvements.
CashFlowRE · CFR-697M1KD4754D3J
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29