1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
875 sqft ·
Built 1961
· Condo
· Pending
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,825/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,809
Tax + insurance
−$575
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$593
Net cashflow
$-152/mo
Annual
$-1,826/yr
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.89%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$96,600
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $345k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-152 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $323k (6.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $283k (18.1% below list).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($335k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $283k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 88/100 on livability (#10 in NY, #221 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Lynbrook Union Free School District (suburban): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #72 of 590 in NY (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: West End School (math 82% / reading 82%, grade A+, #138 of 2,108 statewide, top 8%, 401 students, 0% FRL); Lynbrook South Middle School (math 37% / reading 67%, grade C+, #241 of 729 statewide, top 35%, 388 students, 13% FRL); Lynbrook Senior High School (math 97% / reading 82%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 850 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 11% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $189k; list at $345k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.2% in Lynbrook — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-69N71Q42SWFWFV
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29