3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,250 sqft ·
Built 2008
· Manufactured
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,088/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$90
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$228
Net cashflow
$114/mo
Annual
$1,362/yr
Cap rate
7.38%
Cash-on-cash
3.89%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $114 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (13.0% below list).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (6.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#391 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
Hartshorne (town): math 6% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #257 of 270 in OK (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Pittsburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pittsburg County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (6.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6ATMCT2VAAWQY8
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29