3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,125 sqft ·
Built 1939
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,413/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$802
Tax + insurance
−$261
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$297
Net cashflow
$53/mo
Annual
$636/yr
Cap rate
6.71%
Cash-on-cash
1.48%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$42,840
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $153k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($636/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (7.7% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $141k (7.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#805 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Gladewater ISD (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #594 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Gladewater Pri (367 students, 90% FRL); Gladewater Middle (math 34% / reading 37%, grade F, #827 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 400 students, 78% FRL); Gladewater H S (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #963 of 1,632 statewide, top 61%, 459 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 63% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 179 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 34 units permitted in Upshur County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Upshur County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.9% in Gladewater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29