2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 71 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$944/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$83
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$198
Net cashflow
$-13/mo
Annual
$-159/yr
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.44%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$36,092
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-159/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (1.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $94k (26.8% below list).
It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $94k (26.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($891 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#236 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
Hertford County Schools (town): math 14% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #171 of 178 in NC (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Riverview Elementary (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,410 statewide, top 94%, 344 students, 99% FRL); Hertford County Middle (math 6% / reading 26%, grade F, #455 of 475 statewide, top 96%, 536 students, 99% FRL); Hertford County High (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #518 of 535 statewide, top 97%, 573 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 74% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Hertford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hertford County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $43k; list at $129k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (4.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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